KALI TOVAR · MARKET INTELLIGENCE · 2026
Puerto Vallarta market snapshot.
MLS transaction data across the full Puerto Vallarta / Riviera Nayarit market.
PRICE APPRECIATION · 2021-2026
Seven years of price data. Two different stories.
Year-over-year median price change for condominiums and houses across Bahia de Banderas, 2021 to 2026.
Condo median appreciation. Houses tracked separately.
Condominiums show sustained appreciation from 2023 (+16.4%) through 2024 (+12.9%), with a pause in 2025 (+0.9%) and a 5.2% recovery year to date in 2026. Houses experienced deeper corrections in 2022 (-6.0%) and 2024 (-10.1%), with a 10.6% rebound in 2025. For buyers, entry conditions remain favorable relative to the 2021 peaks.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
What enters the market. What actually closes.
Annual volume of new listings, closed sales, and expired or cancelled listings, 2020 to 2026.
Condominiums
Houses
The gap that opened in 2024 between new listings and closed sales is the single most important data point in this market. In 2026, for every condo sold, 1.4 expire without selling. Sellers who price correctly close. Sellers who price to what they need, not to what the data supports, fund their competition.
ZONE INTELLIGENCE
Where buyers move fast. Where sellers wait.
Sale probability and months of active supply by zone, based on closed transaction data 2020-2026.
Libramiento NE and South Shore post the highest sale probability in the market, at 73.7% and 70.6% respectively. Sayulita and Punta de Mita carry the longest supply windows and lowest close rates, creating direct negotiation leverage for prepared buyers.
ACTIVE PROJECT INTELLIGENCE
Performance by project and zone.
Select a zone to explore transaction history, turnover rate, and price-per-area data for individual projects.
| Project | Units | Turnover | Avg DOM | USD/sqft | Appreciation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OASIS at Rivera Cuale | 74 | 98.6% | 275 | $355 | +8.1% |
| SOHOPV | 63 | 100% | 618 | $395 | - |
| Avida | 53 | 98.1% | 948 | $315 | +73.3% |
| OFRENDA | 38 | 100% | 164 | $514 | - |
| EVA | 54 | 61.1% | 269 | $556 | - |
| 105 Sail View | 22 | 95.5% | 782 | $401 | +52% |
| D'ESIRE | 18 | 100% | 671 | $342 | - |
| MADERO 320 | 15 | 100% | 125 | $344 | - |
| URBAN II | 13 | 100% | 679 | $292 | - |
| Rivera Molino | 13 | 92.3% | 150 | $316 | - |
| V177 | 12 | 100% | 133 | $423 | - |
| Molino de Agua | 13 | 84.6% | 131 | $464 | - |
| El Remance | 12 | 91.7% | 184 | $223 | - |
| Agave Vallarta | 11 | 100% | 294 | $214 | - |
| Pavilion | 11 | 100% | 212 | $417 | - |
| Pier 57 | 10 | 100% | 213 | $550 | - |
| The Cosmopolitan | 19 | 47.4% | 300 | $463 | - |
| Signature by Pinnacle | 14 | 64.3% | 142 | $614 | - |
| Serenity | 9 | 100% | 130 | $278 | - |
| Rincon de Almas | 9 | 88.9% | 204 | $376 | - |
Kali Tovar · Market Intelligence · June 2026. Closed transactions only.
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